THEMES / Funding & Liquidity

Funding & Liquidity

Policy → unsecured funding → secured funding → liquidity → dealer absorption.
LATEST OBSERVATIONOldest input · per-row dates below
COVERAGE7 signalsAcross 1 risk block
THRESHOLD FLAGS0 large movesTransparent rules, not a risk score
FRESHNESS0 staleSource-specific update cadence
Reading this board Observation windows, timestamps & citations

Each row has its own observation date. Δ 1 obs / Δ 5 obs = change over 1 / 5 observations: days for daily data, periods for lagged, weekly or monthly data. Expand any flag for its rule, comparison dates and source citations.

Generated · Structured JSON

Funding / Liquidity: latest values, observation changes, thresholds and sources
Indicator / dateCurrentΔ 1 obsΔ 5 obsFlag / evidenceFreshness / quality
SOFR
2026-10-28 · 2 trading days old · daily
3.94%SOFR · since 2025-11-03: low 3.50% (2026-05-20) · high 4.22% (2025-10-31) · latest 3.94%-1.0 bp+6.0 bp
Within rule

Alert when absolute change from previous observed date exceeds 10 bp. Configured monitoring threshold; not a risk score.

Formula: NYFED_SOFR

1 interval: 2026-10-27 → 2026-10-28

Absolute move percentile: 52.31th over trailing 2Y (497 prior intervals) · BELOW_95TH_PERCENTILE

5 intervals: 2026-10-21 → 2026-10-28

Percentile: absolute prior observed-interval changes within trailing two calendar years; current move excluded; trusted endpoints only; minimum 60 prior moves; daily frequencies only. Coverage may be shorter than two years. Current stored quality classifications apply.

NYFED · NYFED_SOFR
3.94% · 2026-10-28 · revision 0
PRIMARY · redistribution: OPEN
Ingested 2026-10-29T13:01:26.957483Z

NYFED
Fresh
valid
SOFR − IORB
2026-10-28 · 2 trading days old · daily
4.0 bpSOFR − IORB · since 2025-11-03: low -15.0 bp (2026-05-20) · high 32.0 bp (2025-10-31) · latest 4.0 bp-1.0 bp+6.0 bp
Within rule

Alert when absolute change from previous observed date exceeds 5 bp. Configured monitoring threshold; not a risk score.

Formula: (NYFED_SOFR - RATE_IORB) * 100

1 interval: 2026-10-27 → 2026-10-28

Absolute move percentile: 51.92th over trailing 2Y (287 prior intervals) · BELOW_95TH_PERCENTILE

5 intervals: 2026-10-21 → 2026-10-28

Percentile: absolute prior observed-interval changes within trailing two calendar years; current move excluded; trusted endpoints only; minimum 60 prior moves; daily frequencies only. Coverage may be shorter than two years. Current stored quality classifications apply.

Spread uses latest common date; one or more legs have newer observations

NYFED · NYFED_SOFR
3.94% · 2026-10-28 · revision 0
PRIMARY · redistribution: OPEN
Ingested 2026-10-29T13:01:26.957483Z

FED · RATE_IORB
3.90% · 2026-10-28 · revision 0
OFFICIAL_REPUBLISHED · redistribution: OPEN
Ingested 2026-10-28T01:30:49.534825Z

NYFED / FED
Fresh
valid
EFFR − IORB
2026-10-28 · 2 trading days old · daily
-2.0 bpEFFR − IORB · since 2025-11-05: low -4.0 bp (2025-10-31) · high -1.0 bp (2025-11-28) · latest -2.0 bp0.0 bp0.0 bp
Within rule

Alert when absolute change from previous observed date exceeds 5 bp. Configured monitoring threshold; not a risk score.

Formula: (NYFED_EFFR - RATE_IORB) * 100

1 interval: 2026-10-27 → 2026-10-28

Absolute move percentile: 95.5th over trailing 2Y (289 prior intervals) · ABSOLUTE_MOVE_AT_OR_ABOVE_95TH_PERCENTILE

5 intervals: 2026-10-21 → 2026-10-28

Percentile: absolute prior observed-interval changes within trailing two calendar years; current move excluded; trusted endpoints only; minimum 60 prior moves; daily frequencies only. Coverage may be shorter than two years. Current stored quality classifications apply.

Spread uses latest common date; one or more legs have newer observations

NYFED · NYFED_EFFR
3.88% · 2026-10-28 · revision 0
PRIMARY · redistribution: OPEN
Ingested 2026-10-29T13:01:28.062420Z

FED · RATE_IORB
3.90% · 2026-10-28 · revision 0
OFFICIAL_REPUBLISHED · redistribution: OPEN
Ingested 2026-10-28T01:30:49.534825Z

NYFED / FED
Fresh
valid
SOFR P99 − median
2026-10-28 · 2 trading days old · daily
8.0 bpSOFR P99 − median · since 2025-11-03: low 6.0 bp (2026-05-20) · high 24.0 bp (2025-12-11) · latest 8.0 bp-1.0 bp0.0 bp
Within rule

Alert when absolute change from previous observed date exceeds 5 bp. Configured monitoring threshold; not a risk score.

Formula: (NYFED_SOFR_P99 - NYFED_SOFR) * 100

1 interval: 2026-10-27 → 2026-10-28

Absolute move percentile: 78.87th over trailing 2Y (497 prior intervals) · BELOW_95TH_PERCENTILE

5 intervals: 2026-10-21 → 2026-10-28

Percentile: absolute prior observed-interval changes within trailing two calendar years; current move excluded; trusted endpoints only; minimum 60 prior moves; daily frequencies only. Coverage may be shorter than two years. Current stored quality classifications apply.

NYFED · NYFED_SOFR_P99
4.02% · 2026-10-28 · revision 0
PRIMARY · redistribution: OPEN
Ingested 2026-10-29T13:01:26.917838Z

NYFED · NYFED_SOFR
3.94% · 2026-10-28 · revision 0
PRIMARY · redistribution: OPEN
Ingested 2026-10-29T13:01:26.957483Z

NYFED
Fresh
valid
TGA (H.4.1 weekly)
2026-10-28 · weekly
999.7 USD bnTGA (H.4.1 weekly) · since 2025-11-05: low 748.4 USD bn (2026-04-08) · high 1,006.0 USD bn (2026-04-22) · latest 999.7 USD bn+47.7 USD bn+22.6 USD bn
Within rule

Alert when absolute change from previous observed date exceeds 50000 USD millions. Configured monitoring threshold; not a risk score.

Formula: LIQ_TGA

1 interval: 2026-10-21 → 2026-10-28

5 intervals: 2026-09-23 → 2026-10-28

Percentile: absolute prior observed-interval changes within trailing two calendar years; current move excluded; trusted endpoints only; minimum 60 prior moves; daily frequencies only. Coverage may be shorter than two years. Current stored quality classifications apply.

WEEKLY: changes are observed periods, not current daily moves

FED · LIQ_TGA
999.7 USD bn · 2026-10-28 · revision 0
OFFICIAL_REPUBLISHED · redistribution: OPEN
Ingested 2026-10-30T01:30:43.017392Z

FED
Fresh
valid
Bank reserves
2026-10-28 · weekly
2,893.8 USD bnBank reserves · since 2025-11-05: low 2,855.0 USD bn (2025-11-12) · high 3,142.7 USD bn (2026-07-15) · latest 2,893.8 USD bn-68.8 USD bn-36.4 USD bn
Within rule

Alert when absolute change from previous observed date exceeds 100000 USD millions. Configured monitoring threshold; not a risk score.

Formula: LIQ_RESERVES

1 interval: 2026-10-21 → 2026-10-28

5 intervals: 2026-09-23 → 2026-10-28

Percentile: absolute prior observed-interval changes within trailing two calendar years; current move excluded; trusted endpoints only; minimum 60 prior moves; daily frequencies only. Coverage may be shorter than two years. Current stored quality classifications apply.

WEEKLY: changes are observed periods, not current daily moves

FED · LIQ_RESERVES
2,893.8 USD bn · 2026-10-28 · revision 0
OFFICIAL_REPUBLISHED · redistribution: OPEN
Ingested 2026-10-30T01:30:42.997607Z

FED
Fresh
valid
ON RRP
2026-10-29 · daily
353.0 USD mnON RRP · since 2025-11-04: low 30.0 USD mn (2026-07-20) · high 106.0 USD bn (2025-12-31) · latest 353.0 USD mn+177.0 USD mn+2.0 USD mn
Within rule

Alert when absolute change from previous observed date exceeds 50 USD billions. Configured monitoring threshold; not a risk score.

Formula: LIQ_ON_RRP

1 interval: 2026-10-28 → 2026-10-29

Absolute move percentile: 13.28th over trailing 2Y (497 prior intervals) · BELOW_95TH_PERCENTILE

5 intervals: 2026-10-22 → 2026-10-29

Percentile: absolute prior observed-interval changes within trailing two calendar years; current move excluded; trusted endpoints only; minimum 60 prior moves; daily frequencies only. Coverage may be shorter than two years. Current stored quality classifications apply.

FED · LIQ_ON_RRP
353.0 USD mn · 2026-10-29 · revision 0
OFFICIAL_REPUBLISHED · redistribution: OPEN
Ingested 2026-10-30T01:30:43.794111Z

FED
Fresh
valid

Policy corridor

Fed target: —–—% · IORB: —% (No observation)

NY Fed Funding Distribution

Volume-weighted median and percentiles. Rates in %; transaction volume in USD billions. SOFR upper-tail pressure is P99 minus median, shown above.

RateMedianP01P25P75P99Volume (USD bn)Date
EFFR———————
OBFR———————
TGCR———————
BGCR———————
SOFR———————

Secured / Unsecured Funding vs IORB

Select series to plot.

Repo Transaction Volume · USD billions

Select series to plot.

Liquidity & Dealer Absorption

The Treasury-market plumbing: primary-dealer inventory (how much issuance dealers are absorbing) against Fed liquidity — H.4.1 reserves, the Treasury General Account, overnight reverse repo, and the Fed balance sheet. Stored facts, not a model.
Dealer UST Net
—
Bank Reserves
—
Treasury TGA (daily, DTS)
—
ON RRP
—
Fed Repo Ops / SRF
—
Fed Total Assets
—
OFR Stress Index
—

Primary-Dealer Net Treasury Position · NY Fed · weekly

Primary dealers' net outright positions in U.S. Treasury securities (ex-TIPS), as reported weekly to the New York Fed.
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Net Liquidity · Fed total assets − TGA − ON RRP · weekly (Wed) · USD tn

A common market heuristic, not an official statistic. Computed from H.4.1 Wednesday levels (WALCL, WDTGAL) and that day's ON RRP; inputs and formula are stored with each point (JSON).
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Financial Stress & Conditions · signed indices · 0 = average, above 0 = more stress / tighter

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Fed Repo Operations / Standing Repo Facility · NY Fed · daily · USD bn

Accepted amount across the day's repo operations. Near zero most days; spikes mark funding pressure (quarter-/year-ends, 2019-09, 2020-03).
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Commercial Paper vs SOFR · %

AA financial 3M and nonfinancial 30-day CP rates (Fed Board) against SOFR. The financial 3M series has gaps on low-issuance days.
Select series to plot.

Fed Liquidity (H.4.1)

Reserves, TGA, ON RRP and total assets overlaid. They live on different scales — turn on Rebase to 100 for shape comparison. Reading: TGA ↑ = liquidity drain, Reserves ↓ = tighter system liquidity, total assets ↓ = QT.
Select series to plot.